#prediction

We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. ↗

— Nate Silver

#estimates #get #our #predictions #right

Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast for tomorrow? If not, then why should this country bet billions on global warming predictions that have even less foundation? ↗

— Thomas Sowell

#billions #country #even #forecast #foundation

It is critical to learn how to listen for what is not being said. ↗

— Debra Kaye

#future-prediction #ideas #innovation #business

Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge: the serenity to accept the things we cannot predict, the courage to predict the things we can, and the wisdom to know the difference. ↗

— Nate Silver

#knowledge #prediction #self-knowledge #uncertainty #wisdom

Wisdom is nothing more than confirmed imagination: just because one did not study for his exam does not mean that he should leave it blank. ↗

— Criss Jami

#confidence #confirmation #confirmed #creativity #error

Agency by agency, we frequently have lost a bit of ground, at least to inflation-but had it not been for the efforts we've made to educate people about the importance of science, technology and advanced education, those predictions very well might have come true. ↗

— Charles Vest

#advanced #agency #been #bit #come