#forecast

There are domains in which expertise is not possible. Stock picking is a good example. And in long-term political strategic forecasting, it's been shown that experts are just not better than a dice-throwing monkey. ↗

— Daniel Kahneman

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#better #domains #example #expertise #experts

If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. ↗

— Nate Silver

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#glory #reason #sticking #think #went

Would you bet your paycheck on a weather forecast for tomorrow? If not, then why should this country bet billions on global warming predictions that have even less foundation? ↗

— Thomas Sowell

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#billions #country #even #forecast #foundation