#we

Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. ↗

I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. ↗

People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. ↗

— Nate Silver

#good #how #information #intuitive #know

The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. ↗

— Nate Silver

#associate #capital #correlate #expertise #good

To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. ↗

— Nate Silver

#answer #extent #find #know #making

Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. ↗

— Nate Silver

#different #different things #perceive #really #statistically

Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. ↗

— Nate Silver

#going #know #office #out #percent

Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. ↗

— Nate Silver

#almost #american #american economy #between #chaos

You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. ↗

— Nate Silver

#build #choices #dealing #example #financial

I saw and I met a lot of people who were in the field. It also provided a context in which I came to respect what the actor did, because I saw how difficult it actually was to do. ↗

— Ron Silver

#actually #also #because #came #context

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