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The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake.


Nate Silver


#hampshire #instance #miss #mistake #new



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O. I was too tough on him and there’s a 84.

com. In the 2012 United States presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney he correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Senate races that year.

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