If a war started, the oil price probably would go up, as you said, maybe $5, $6 a barrel until you saw other oil from the extra supplies that are available elsewhere coming into the world, into the market.

Council on Foreign Relations Press 2001. An essay that Yergin publiDaniel Yergind on the peak oil controversy in the Wall Street Journal aroused further criticism from the peak oil community. 1982 ISBN 0-394-71063-0; Random House new revised 3rd ed.

Yergin is the co-founder and chairman of Cambridge Energy Research Associates an energy research consultancy that is now part of IHS Inc. Daniel Howard Yergin (born February 6 1947) is a Pulitzer Prize winning American author speaker and economic researcher.